Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.045487 0.052254 0.059313 0.067196 0.075722 0.084637 0.094633
2025-03-16 0.031256 0.040455 0.050748 0.062967 0.076931 0.092255 0.110208
2025-03-23 0.025082 0.035996 0.048943 0.065064 0.084249 0.106030 0.132310
2025-03-30 0.020442 0.032345 0.047234 0.066555 0.090331 0.118062 0.152288
2025-04-06 0.017725 0.030551 0.047337 0.069857 0.098303 0.132165 0.174666
2025-04-13 0.014171 0.026992 0.044650 0.069211 0.101093 0.139843 0.189299
2025-04-20 0.013030 0.026653 0.046092 0.073786 0.110375 0.155435 0.213545
2025-04-27 0.010193 0.023261 0.042916 0.071895 0.111131 0.160324 0.224657
2025-05-04 0.009094 0.022453 0.043296 0.074741 0.118001 0.172866 0.245249
2025-05-11 0.007336 0.020198 0.041275 0.074029 0.120005 0.179149 0.258021
2025-05-18 0.006366 0.019180 0.041019 0.075739 0.125217 0.189534 0.275983
2025-05-25 0.005470 0.018128 0.040582 0.077094 0.129893 0.199219 0.293095
2025-06-01 0.003820 0.015212 0.036963 0.073761 0.128317 0.201163 0.301025
2025-06-08 0.002521 0.012591 0.033513 0.070448 0.126648 0.202978 0.308910
2025-06-15 0.002126 0.012114 0.033848 0.073078 0.133559 0.216402 0.332068
2025-06-22 0.001708 0.011406 0.033655 0.074805 0.139151 0.228088 0.353057
2025-06-29 0.001506 0.011295 0.034594 0.078400 0.147547 0.243686 0.379336
2025-07-06 0.001043 0.010025 0.033044 0.077717 0.149492 0.250394 0.393864
2025-07-13 0.000991 0.010320 0.034764 0.082645 0.159968 0.269011 0.424393
2025-07-20 0.000602 0.008863 0.032539 0.080612 0.159762 0.272708 0.434965
2025-07-27 0.000503 0.008723 0.033211 0.083674 0.167412 0.287469 0.460498
2025-08-03 0.000304 0.007742 0.031801 0.082908 0.169061 0.293749 0.474600
2025-08-10 0.000220 0.007389 0.031836 0.084747 0.174794 0.305852 0.496662